Posted by
liamascorcaigh on Thursday, May 08, 2008 2:28:30 PM
All of us who have frittered away our time in school goofing off,
hanging out, chilling with a Bud, thinking the long, fuzzy, wingéd
thoughts of youth, have calmed our inner prefect by promising to get
down to study tomorrow, next week, Christmas vacation, next semester,
Easter for sure. Then the hour arrives when we break open the books,
beg, borrow and steal class notes, sharpen the pencils, set the coffee
pot on the stove and get to work.
After an hour doubts are
rustling in the wainscoting. A couple of hours later a swarm of dreads
are knocking furiously on the windowpanes, fear is scratching at the
door.
Then at the very witching hour of night full blown terror
swhooshes down the chimney and takes possession of the room liked a
poltergeist with a three week old toothache. We stand rigid in a
goggle-eyed panic before collapsing on a bed that's as stale and unmade
as our mind.
Through the chaos one thought emerges as clear
and sharp and unwelcome as broken crystal: You have left it too late,
it says. There is too much to do and too little time to do it. Your
failure is assured. Your golden future will never happen. You have
proved yourself a little man and are now doomed to live a little man's
life during which your early promise, your wasted talents, your broken
dreams will never cease to mock you.
This is where Hillary
Clinton is at. If North Carolina blew her away Indiana cruelly just
broke her fall enough to allow her to limp away from the disaster with
too few injuries to grant her a merciful death but enough broken bones
and internal bleeding to guarantee that no future treatment will do
anything other than prolong the agony. Obama holds the centre of the
ring while his opponent, heaving on the ropes, blind in one eye, jaw
dislocated, one eyebrow a bloody gash, pleads through split lips with
the referee not to stop the fight.
If this were a World
Championship bout the referee at the very least would call in the
doctor and he, after a mere glance, would end the carnage. But this is
politics, the cruellest bloodsport of them all and one where the
cornerman has no towel to throw. The candidate alone decides when to
quit and Hillary blindly staggered out of Indiana straight into the
West Virginia arena where she hopes the crowd will be more supportive
and Obama less surgically devastating with his right jabs and southpaw
uppercuts.
This election isn't fun anymore. Rather than being a
substitute for warfare this particular political process has transmuted
of late into a series of bloody battles where the only thing missing
are actual firearms. It's become as much a meatgrinder as
Hamburger Hill and is bidding to last longer than the
Somme.
After each bruising encounter a handful of delegates are exchanged,
leaving each side bloodied, unbowed and occupying essentially the same
strategic ground.
The demographic terrain is cruel,
unyielding, impenetrable to either combatant. Obama is secure among the
white elite, the youth and the blacks. Hillary is dug in with the white
working class, white women and the seniors. Any attempt to charge
across the no man's land in between grinds to a halt under withering
defensive fire.
Obama's strategic advantage gained in Iowa and
consolidated among the causus states after Super Tuesday has held
against the tactical blunders of Flag Pin Hill, Wright's Salient, the
skirmish at Bitter Clinging Valley and the assault on Ayre's Redoubt.
Clinton failed to turn any of these opportunities into a breakthrough,
merely forcing Obama to make an orderly retreat at times but never
being able to turn his local difficulties into an overall rout.
Like
all wars of attrition this one will be decided by the resources which
each side has still in hand. Obama's coffers are full. His forces,
though fighting an essentially defensive war, are in excellent spirits.
Those watching from the sidelines are more and more tempted to enter
the fry on his behalf. And as time ticks away and Hillary's assaults
necessarily flag, it's becoming increasingly probable that he will
carry the day.
Hillary, on the other hand, is weak where he is
strong and weakest where he is strongest. All her treasure is spent and
she's sinking deeper into debt. Her followers talk a good fight still
but heads are being to hang and crests to fall. Some hitherto staunch
supporters are eyeing the chance to defect with dignity, if not honor,
intact. Energy and morale are swiftly ebbing in spite of the steely
determination of an increasingly desperate general. The uncommitted are
now turning away, some reluctantly, others with no little bounce in
their step. Her Chief of Staff and Consort is undoubtedly contemplating
an end-game strategy which will leave open the opportunity for another
campaign in more favorable circumstances.
Like the many
Prussian, English, Russian and Austrian generals so often
outmanoeuvered by Napoleon, Hillary's only hope is to stick it out on
the chance that a random bolt of lightning will strike her opponent
dead from out his saddle and give her victory by default. This is no
doubt a forlorn wish but in this year of years it is slightly less
impossible than one might otherwise imagine. Who of us foretold such a
creature as William Ayres rising from his little puddle of history to
trouble Obama's dreamings? Or the exotic pastor rampaging from his
pulpit to loose a whirlwind of invective against the white race and the
nation to which they gave birth?
Are there other dark genies
in yet uncorked bottles that lie still undisturbed waiting for the
fateful rubbing that will release their havoc upon an unsuspecting
presumptive nominee already in the flush of near certain victory? Is
there somewhere a tape of Barry and Jerry, drunk on Communion wine,
cackling over the vengeance they will wreak on the traditional
oppressors of their people? Or a recording of Obama empathizing with
Bill Ayres' chagrin at not having thought of a 9/11 thirty years before
bin Laden? Or a photograph of Tony Rezko slipping a fat brown envelope
to Obama in some shady Chicago nook while burly "associates" with
broken noses and bulges under their armpits look unsmilingly on?
These
are the visions that smooth Hillary's sweaty brow as she surveys the
latest battlefield strewn with the shredded body parts of her lifelong
hopes and dreams. This is why she'll hang in there as long as she can.
What a galling prospect if she raised the white flag and a week or two
later that random bolt of lightning struck leaving the Dems to strap
the political corpse of Obama to his trusty steed and lead him as best
they could all the way to an inevitable McCain landslide next November.
Now God surely wouldn't play such tricks on a Clinton!
Ya think?
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